Google: Some Of Those SEO Weather Tools Pick Up Wrong Signals

I often use a mix of the SEO weather tools and the SEO community chatter to determine if something is big is happening with a Google Update or not. There are times where the community chatter will be high and the tools will not fluctuate much and vice versa, but when both are showing fluctuations, I feel more confidence in my estimation on if I should do a blog post or not on the topic.